FIFA World Cup 2026 · 11 Jun – 19 Jul

Our tickets, and the prices we're watching

Matches held

Matches sold

Days to first

+$232

Round-trip net

Our tickets

1 held · 3 sold

What the Barbouches hold — and what's already been sold on the FIFA Resale Marketplace.

Sold tickets 3 sold · +$232 round-trip

R16 + QF price watch

Updated Jun 05 · 04:08 UTC

Nightly snapshots of the cheapest available seat per knockout-stage match (ticketdata.com). Tap a match to view current listings.

Held-inventory watch · the Ederer thesis

Economist Florian Ederer (Boston University, antitrust/IO) argues FIFA actively manages the secondary market — holding back excess inventory (his estimate: 30–40%+ per match) and feeding contiguous seat blocks onto resale platforms. NY & NJ Attorneys General are investigating FIFA ticketing (subpoena, May 2026). A strong hypothesis from a qualified source — not proven; empty seats can also be soft demand.

40–60%

CWC-2025 empty share (typical)

25 / 48

group games >50% full

13%

lowest fill (3,412 fans)

~$13

late price dump (semifinal)

How we read it live: the per-card FIFA availability chip (Available vs Limited) + the ticketdata floor trend + the buy-window timer are our proxies for held supply. Actionable read either way: expect large unsold inventory and late softening → patience favors the buyer. CWC-2025 is the precedent — empty share routinely beat Ederer's 30–40% floor, and FIFA slashed prices in the final 7–14 days.

Live alert feeds · armed 2026-06-03

Two independent crowdsourced feeds now watch all 12 R16/QF matches and email the moment a listing hits target — pushed to a monitored inbox that Claude reads each morning, flagging a ⚡ buy-signal whenever a price crosses threshold on a target match. Together they cover both the resale market and FIFA's face-value Last-Minute-Sales drops.

Alert feed	Status	Coverage	Armed
The Great Reviewer	live	12/12 R16+QF · smart-deal + under-price	2026-06-03
SeatSidekick	live · Alerts Pass	12/12 · smart-deal 25% + FIFA face-value drops + new-under	2026-06-03

How it reaches you: both feeds → monitored inbox (transport.4.suite.301@gmail.com) → the fifa-ticket-alerts-ingest task (daily 07:38 CT) logs every alert and surfaces ⚡ buy-signals on the 12 targets. No FIFA scraping — alert emails only.